TY - JOUR KW - Defense policy KW - Foresight-based defense planning KW - Scenario KW - Drivers KW - Defense expenditures AU - Todor Tagarev AU - Lidia Velkova AB -

As part of the formulation of a vision for Bulgaria’s force development in the horizon of 2035, the authors were tasked to study the evolution of the economic environment and provide a view on the potential resource allocation to defense. Our study resulted in three scenarios—“Bulgaria in the gray zone of the European economic space,” “Peripheral economy,” and “Catching up economy”—each one plausible under a set of driving factors and conditions. The paper presents the process of scenario design, the scenarios, the respective defense budget levels and the<br>impact on Bulgaria’s defense and armed forces.

BT - Journal of Defense Management DA - September 2014 DO - 10.4172/2167-0374.1000119 IS - 1 LA - eng N2 -

As part of the formulation of a vision for Bulgaria’s force development in the horizon of 2035, the authors were tasked to study the evolution of the economic environment and provide a view on the potential resource allocation to defense. Our study resulted in three scenarios—“Bulgaria in the gray zone of the European economic space,” “Peripheral economy,” and “Catching up economy”—each one plausible under a set of driving factors and conditions. The paper presents the process of scenario design, the scenarios, the respective defense budget levels and the<br>impact on Bulgaria’s defense and armed forces.

PY - 2014 SE - 119 T2 - Journal of Defense Management TI - Scenarios for Resource Allocation to Bulgaria’s Defense in the Horizon of 2035 VL - 4 ER -