01138nas a2200193   4500000000100000000000100001008004100002260001900043653001900062653003700081653001300118653001200131653002500143100001800168700001800186245008500204490000600289520064900295       2014                            d  cSeptember 201410aDefense policy10aForesight-based defense planning10aScenario10aDrivers10aDefense expenditures1 aTodor Tagarev1 aLidia Velkova00aScenarios for Resource Allocation to Bulgaria’s Defense in the Horizon of 20350 v43 a<p>As part of the formulation of a vision for Bulgaria’s force development in the horizon of 2035, the authors were tasked to study the evolution of the economic environment and provide a view on the potential resource allocation to defense. Our study resulted in three scenarios—“Bulgaria in the gray zone of the European economic space,” “Peripheral economy,” and “Catching up economy”—each one plausible under a set of driving factors and conditions. The paper presents the process of scenario design, the scenarios, the respective defense budget levels and the&lt;br&gt;impact on Bulgaria’s defense and armed forces.</p>