01220nas a2200181 4500000000100000000000100001000000100002008004100003260001300044653001900057653002000076653002300096653002500119100001800144700001900162245012700181520073000308 2015 d cMay 201510adefence policy10aethnic conflict10aplanning scenarios10atransborder conflict1 aTodor Tagarev1 aValeri Ratchev00aScenario and ambitions for managing a trans-border political-military crisis: Implications for Bulgaria’s Defence Policy3 aAt the end of 2007 and early 2008, we conducted a study on the request of the Ministry of Defence of Republic of Bulgaria, aimed to support the review of the country’s defence policy and the long-term vision for its armed forces. The report was published in the Spring of 2008 without any substantive editorial intervention. In view of the current crisis in neighbouring Macedonia, we decided to inform our readers on the relevant portions of that work, as it was published more than seven years ago. Depending on the evolution of the security situation close to the Bulgarian borders, we stand ready to review prospective scenarios and recommend feasible courses of action. The full text of the report is in Bulgarian.