@article{bibcite_9387,
  keywords = {Defense policy, Foresight-based defense planning, Scenario, Drivers, Defense expenditures},
  author = {Todor Tagarev and Lidia Velkova},
  title = {Scenarios for Resource Allocation to Bulgaria{\textquoteright}s Defense in the Horizon of 2035},
  abstract = {<p>As part of the formulation of a vision for Bulgaria{\textquoteright}s force development in the horizon of 2035, the authors were tasked to study the evolution of the economic environment and provide a view on the potential resource allocation to defense. Our study resulted in three scenarios{\textemdash}{\textquotedblleft}Bulgaria in the gray zone of the European economic space,{\textquotedblright} {\textquotedblleft}Peripheral economy,{\textquotedblright} and {\textquotedblleft}Catching up economy{\textquotedblright}{\textemdash}each one plausible under a set of driving factors and conditions. The paper presents the process of scenario design, the scenarios, the respective defense budget levels and the\&lt;br\&gt;impact on Bulgaria{\textquoteright}s defense and armed forces.</p>},
  year = {2014},
  journal = {Journal of Defense Management},
  volume = {4},
  chapter = {119},
  month = {September 2014},
  doi = {10.4172/2167-0374.1000119},
  language = {eng},
}